Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Burnley
28.8%
Draw
43.7%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Burnley
vs
1.52
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).