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AHT: 01CSV

17 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.9%
Airdrie Utd
29.4%
Draw
58.6%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

0.55

Airdrie Utd

vs
1.49

Livingston

Markets

BTTS34.6%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.6%
0-0
14.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
7.2%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
2-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).