Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Manchester City
22.3%
Draw
50.2%
Whitstable Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Manchester City
vs
1.82
Whitstable Town
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
0-3
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).