Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Rochdale
21.0%
Draw
16.0%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Rochdale
vs
0.74
Accrington
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).