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DHT: 10

25 Aug 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.9%
Häcken
20.8%
Draw
21.3%
Värnamo

Expected Goals (xG)

2.38

Häcken

vs
1.42

Värnamo

Markets

BTTS69.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.552.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
1-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
3.0%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).