Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.2%
Oxford
18.6%
Draw
15.2%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Oxford
vs
0.84
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
4.0%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).