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22 Jan 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.9%
Antwerp
33.3%
Draw
19.8%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Antwerp

vs
0.63

Standard

Markets

BTTS32.2%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.553.0%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.8%
0-0
18.0%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.0%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-0
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).