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DHT: 11CSV

04 May 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Werder Bremen
27.7%
Draw
34.8%
M'gladbach

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Werder Bremen

vs
1.32

M'gladbach

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).