Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.0%
Notts County
24.9%
Draw
24.1%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Notts County
vs
0.95
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).