Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Widzew Lodz
26.3%
Draw
42.9%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Widzew Lodz
vs
1.60
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).