Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.7%
Union Berlin
21.9%
Draw
11.4%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Union Berlin
vs
0.68
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).