Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Dover Athletic
23.2%
Draw
48.4%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Dover Athletic
vs
1.99
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS67.8%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
0-1
5.3%
2-3
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
0-0
3.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).