Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Cesena
32.8%
Draw
24.5%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Cesena
vs
0.83
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.8%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).