Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.8%
Mossley AFC
27.4%
Draw
26.8%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Mossley AFC
vs
0.92
Man United
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).