Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Sutton
21.5%
Draw
49.9%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Sutton
vs
1.90
Swindon
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).