Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Pisa
24.5%
Draw
13.8%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Pisa
vs
0.74
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).