Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
Arka Gdynia
23.2%
Draw
51.6%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Arka Gdynia
vs
2.02
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS65.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
0-3
4.6%
2-3
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).