Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Leganes
28.3%
Draw
11.0%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Leganes
vs
0.39
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS23.9%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.551.4%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.8%
0-0
17.7%
2-0
15.8%
1-1
9.3%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
7.0%
2-1
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-0
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
0-2
1.4%
2-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).