Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.0%
Lugo
27.0%
Draw
53.0%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Lugo
vs
1.42
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
11.5%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).