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HHT: 21CSV

26 Oct 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.9%
Angers
24.9%
Draw
25.2%
St Etienne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Angers

vs
1.01

St Etienne

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).