Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
27.5%
Draw
49.1%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.58
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).