Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Levante
28.9%
Draw
20.8%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Levante
vs
0.71
Burgos
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).