Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Ath Madrid
22.8%
Draw
18.1%
Betis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Ath Madrid
vs
0.93
Betis
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).