Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Liverpool
25.6%
Draw
24.4%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Liverpool
vs
1.26
Fulham
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).