Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Crowborough Athletic
26.8%
Draw
29.2%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Crowborough Athletic
vs
1.12
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).