Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Padova
30.7%
Draw
28.6%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Padova
vs
1.03
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).