Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.0%
Bristol City
23.7%
Draw
21.3%
Biggleswade
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Bristol City
vs
0.92
Biggleswade
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).