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HHT: 00CSV

16 Apr 2016

Como

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.9%
Bari
27.8%
Draw
50.3%
Como

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Bari

vs
1.56

Como

Markets

BTTS49.8%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).