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HHT: 11

09 Mar 2025 · 15:30

Lugano

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.5%
Sion
34.7%
Draw
29.8%
Lugano

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Sion

vs
0.99

Lugano

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.8%
0-0
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).