Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Carlisle
25.8%
Draw
31.8%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Carlisle
vs
1.13
Barrow
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).