Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Como
29.4%
Draw
20.6%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Como
vs
0.83
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).