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11 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.6%
Coventry
17.8%
Draw
12.5%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.51

Coventry

vs
1.00

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
4-0
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
0-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).