Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Leeds
20.7%
Draw
9.0%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Leeds
vs
0.57
Stoke
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.2%
1-0
14.7%
3-0
10.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
5.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).