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01 Dec 2019 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.5%
Heidenheim
16.1%
Draw
10.3%
Greuther Furth

Expected Goals (xG)

2.74

Heidenheim

vs
0.98

Greuther Furth

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.2%
1-0
6.0%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.2%
5-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).