⚽ FootballData
Hearts

Home

2 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

03 Mar 2024 · 12:00

Celtic

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
43.0%
Hearts
27.2%
Draw
29.7%
Celtic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Hearts

vs
1.17

Celtic

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).