Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Getafe
30.3%
Draw
22.7%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Getafe
vs
0.78
Elche
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).