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HHT: 11CSV

04 May 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.9%
Dumbarton
20.3%
Draw
25.7%
Peterhead

Expected Goals (xG)

2.39

Dumbarton

vs
1.64

Peterhead

Markets

BTTS73.7%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.576.7%
Over 3.557.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
3-2
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-0
4.0%
4-1
4.0%
1-0
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
4-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).