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15 Apr 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.9%
Metz
18.6%
Draw
20.5%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

2.19

Metz

vs
1.18

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS60.8%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).