Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.6%
Oviedo
20.8%
Draw
7.6%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Oviedo
vs
0.39
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS26.6%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.5%
2-0
18.1%
0-0
11.5%
3-0
10.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-0
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).