Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.5%
Brentwood Town
13.7%
Draw
6.8%
Leiston
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Brentwood Town
vs
0.58
Leiston
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
3-0
12.0%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
6.5%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
3.7%
0-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).