Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Brescia
27.3%
Draw
23.6%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Brescia
vs
1.05
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).