Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Leicester
27.4%
Draw
29.1%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Leicester
vs
1.20
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).