Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.1%
Nantes
24.4%
Draw
53.5%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Nantes
vs
1.60
Lyon
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).