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18 May 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.2%
FC Koln
27.1%
Draw
21.8%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

FC Koln

vs
0.98

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).