Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Barnsley
18.9%
Draw
24.4%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Barnsley
vs
1.38
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.569.1%
Over 3.547.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).