Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
AEK
27.0%
Draw
16.5%
Panathinaikos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
AEK
vs
0.76
Panathinaikos
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).