Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.4%
Genoa
18.8%
Draw
6.8%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Genoa
vs
0.51
Bari
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.2%
1-0
14.4%
3-0
11.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
4-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
0-1
2.9%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).