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30 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.5%
Blackburn
30.2%
Draw
49.3%
Bournemouth

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Blackburn

vs
1.35

Bournemouth

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.0%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
13.0%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).