Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Barnsley
21.1%
Draw
38.0%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Barnsley
vs
1.65
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS65.6%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).