Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Brentford
28.2%
Draw
21.7%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Brentford
vs
0.99
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).